The Archer … A Statistician’s Dream

Published 26 April 2023

The Archer … A Statistician’s Dream

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The theory “that numbers don’t lie” is contentious but in the case of Rockhampton’s richest race the $775,000 The Archer (1300m) it is simply a given – they don’t.

Run at Rockhampton’s Callaghan Park racecourse this Sunday, the gala race is the kingpin of Rockhampton’s record first race meeting offering over $1M prize money.

Between them the dozen horses carefully chosen by slot holders for The Archer have won $9,366,489 in prize money.

Sydney based Kerrin McEvoy, 42, with 81 GR 1 winners – Australia (70), with the remaining 11 ridden in Great Britain 5, Germany 4 and one apiece in France and Italy will ride Maotai for trainer Kacy Fogden.

With 2156 winners accredited (Racing and Sports) including three Melbourne Cup winners, Kerrin will be the standout among the top jockeys who will ride in The Archer.

McEvoy’s mounts during his illustrious career have earned over $212M in purses while next in The Archer line-up is Brisbane’s Jim Byrne, 51, with seven GR 1 wins on his CV.

Byrne rides one of Newcastle trainer Kris Lees’ two runners Animate and during his career he has ridden 2903 winners while all up his mounts have posted $85M in prize money.

No fewer than five of the other jockeys riding in The Archer are GR 1 winning riders – Dylan Gibbons, 21 (Gem Song); Regan Bayliss, 26 (Surf Dancer); Damien Thornton 27, (Emerald Kingdom); Ryan Maloney 37 (Weona Smartone) and Ben Thompson 26, (Alpine Edge).

Acclaimed apprentice jockeys Queensland’s Angela Jones, 22 (Vega One); Zac Lloyd 19 (Blaze A Trail); Jaden Lloyd 21, (Namazu) and Kyle Wilson Taylor 23, (Count da Beans) will make for an interesting mix of jockeying talents. 

On equine status, The Archer is headed by GROUP 1 winner in the Robert Heathcote trained mare and likely race favourite Startantes to be ridden by James Orman.

(The Tony Gollan trained Vega One is also a GR 1 winner).

With 147 winners already this season, Orman leads the Australian jockey’s premiership figures with those part of his extraordinary tally of 1028 winners in just 10 years of jockeying.

Do the figures for yourselves, remembering numbers don’t lie.

Startantes, given that under the Weight For Age conditions of The Archer is advantageously placed on just 57kg – two kilograms less that all but one of her 11 rivals in The Archer.

She is in line to provide slot holders Robbie and Leonie Carr back-to-back wins in The Archer following their success last year with Emerald Kingdom.

For statisticians, dissecting the stakeholders’ figures for The Archer would be a delight as between them the trainers with starters have won 217 GR 1 races.

None more so that trainer Gai Waterhouse (Surf Dancer) who is the official ambassador for the Rocky Amateurs which has scheduled the race day and promoted it extensively.

Gai has trained a staggering 145 GR 1 (134 individually) winners, part of the 4473 race successes adding to over $300M in stakes with the majority of those figures conceived before her partnership with Adrian Bott in 2016.

Next on trainers’ GR 1 rankings is Ciaron Maher-David Eustace (Blaze a Trail) with 32 (20 jointly) from Kris Lees (Animate/Gem Song) 15: Robert Heathcote (Startantes) 12 and Tony Gollan (Vega One/Count da Beans) 6.

Incidentally, from the records resourced, cumulatively the 10 trainers with starters in The Archer have trained 15,189 winners 

Let’s do our sums on The Archer horses with Vega One having the greatest earnings with $1,785,150 while race veteran Emerald Kingdom (Desleigh Forster) has the most wins at 15 and third on the earnings’ list with $1,169,175.

While Toby and Trent Edmonds Alpine Edge and Tony Gollan’s Count da Beans are the only sole race winners engaged, the former is the second highest on earnings with $1,462,125 to its credit.

Indeed a “statistician’s dream” while new figures will be entered at Callaghan Park mid- afternoon next Sunday in the ledgers of The Archer.

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